IMECH-IR  > 力学所知识产出(1956-2008)
Statistical analysis of synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of fault zone disorder
Lu CS(卢春生); Vere-Jones D; Lu, CS (reprint author), Victoria Univ Wellington, Sch Math & Comp Sci, Wellington 600, New Zealand.
Source PublicationJournal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth
2001
Volume106Issue:B6Pages:11115-11125
ISSN0148-0227
AbstractThe stress release model, a stochastic version of the elastic rebound theory, is applied to the large events from four synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of disorder in distribution of fault zone strength (Ben-Zion, 1996) They include models with uniform properties (U), a Parkfield-type asperity (A), fractal brittle properties (F), and multi-size-scale heterogeneities (M). The results show that the degree of regularity or predictability in the assumed fault properties, based on both the Akaike information criterion and simulations, follows the order U, F, A, and M, which is in good agreement with that obtained by pattern recognition techniques applied to the full set of synthetic data. Data simulated from the best fitting stress release models reproduce, both visually and in distributional terms, the main features of the original catalogs. The differences in character and the quality of prediction between the four cases are shown to be dependent on two main aspects: the parameter controlling the sensitivity to departures from the mean stress level and the frequency-magnitude distribution, which differs substantially between the four cases. In particular, it is shown that the predictability of the data is strongly affected by the form of frequency-magnitude distribution, being greatly reduced if a pure Gutenburg-Richter form is assumed to hold out to high magnitudes.
KeywordStress Release Model Seismicity Systems Regions Risk
DOI10.1029/2000JB900452
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:000169160200013
WOS KeywordSTRESS RELEASE MODEL ; SEISMICITY ; SYSTEMS ; REGIONS ; RISK
WOS Research AreaGeochemistry & Geophysics
WOS SubjectGeochemistry & Geophysics
Citation statistics
Cited Times:12[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/33655
Collection力学所知识产出(1956-2008)
Corresponding AuthorLu, CS (reprint author), Victoria Univ Wellington, Sch Math & Comp Sci, Wellington 600, New Zealand.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Lu CS,Vere-Jones D,Lu, CS . Statistical analysis of synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of fault zone disorder[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth,2001,106,B6,:11115-11125.
APA 卢春生,Vere-Jones D,&Lu, CS .(2001).Statistical analysis of synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of fault zone disorder.Journal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth,106(B6),11115-11125.
MLA 卢春生,et al."Statistical analysis of synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of fault zone disorder".Journal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth 106.B6(2001):11115-11125.
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