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Statistical analysis of synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of fault zone disorder | |
Lu CS(卢春生)![]() | |
Source Publication | Journal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth
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2001 | |
Volume | 106Issue:B6Pages:11115-11125 |
ISSN | 0148-0227 |
Abstract | The stress release model, a stochastic version of the elastic rebound theory, is applied to the large events from four synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of disorder in distribution of fault zone strength (Ben-Zion, 1996) They include models with uniform properties (U), a Parkfield-type asperity (A), fractal brittle properties (F), and multi-size-scale heterogeneities (M). The results show that the degree of regularity or predictability in the assumed fault properties, based on both the Akaike information criterion and simulations, follows the order U, F, A, and M, which is in good agreement with that obtained by pattern recognition techniques applied to the full set of synthetic data. Data simulated from the best fitting stress release models reproduce, both visually and in distributional terms, the main features of the original catalogs. The differences in character and the quality of prediction between the four cases are shown to be dependent on two main aspects: the parameter controlling the sensitivity to departures from the mean stress level and the frequency-magnitude distribution, which differs substantially between the four cases. In particular, it is shown that the predictability of the data is strongly affected by the form of frequency-magnitude distribution, being greatly reduced if a pure Gutenburg-Richter form is assumed to hold out to high magnitudes. |
Keyword | Stress Release Model Seismicity Systems Regions Risk |
DOI | 10.1029/2000JB900452 |
Indexed By | SCI |
Language | 英语 |
WOS ID | WOS:000169160200013 |
WOS Keyword | STRESS RELEASE MODEL ; SEISMICITY ; SYSTEMS ; REGIONS ; RISK |
WOS Research Area | Geochemistry & Geophysics |
WOS Subject | Geochemistry & Geophysics |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | 期刊论文 |
Identifier | http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/33655 |
Collection | 力学所知识产出(1956-2008) |
Corresponding Author | Lu, CS (reprint author), Victoria Univ Wellington, Sch Math & Comp Sci, Wellington 600, New Zealand. |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Lu CS,Vere-Jones D,Lu, CS . Statistical analysis of synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of fault zone disorder[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth,2001,106,B6,:11115-11125. |
APA | 卢春生,Vere-Jones D,&Lu, CS .(2001).Statistical analysis of synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of fault zone disorder.Journal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth,106(B6),11115-11125. |
MLA | 卢春生,et al."Statistical analysis of synthetic earthquake catalogs generated by models with various levels of fault zone disorder".Journal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth 106.B6(2001):11115-11125. |
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