IMECH-IR  > 力学所知识产出(1956-2008)
Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission
Wang HY(汪海英); Rong F(荣峰); Ke FJ(柯孚久); Bai YL(白以龙); Wang, HY (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mech, State Key Lab Nonlinear Mech, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China.
Source PublicationChinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版)
2003
Volume48Issue:24Pages:2684-2687
ISSN1001-6538
AbstractSevere acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is a serious disease with many puzzling features. We present a simple, dynamic model to assess the epidemic potential of SARS and the effectiveness of control measures. With this model, we analysed the SARS epidemic data in Beijing. The data fitting gives the basic case reproduction number of 2.16 leading to the outbreak, and the variation of the effective reproduction number reflecting the control effect. Noticeably, our study shows that the response time and the strength of control measures have significant effects on the scale of the outbreak and the lasting time of the epidemic.
KeywordSars Basic Reproduction Number Effective Reproduction Number Scale Of Epidemic Lasting Time Of Epidemic Sars
DOI10.1360/03ww0126
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:000188504500005
WOS KeywordSARS
WOS Research AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics
WOS SubjectMultidisciplinary Sciences
Citation statistics
Cited Times:5[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/33711
Collection力学所知识产出(1956-2008)
Corresponding AuthorWang, HY (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mech, State Key Lab Nonlinear Mech, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Wang HY,Rong F,Ke FJ,et al. Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版),2003,48,24,:2684-2687.
APA 汪海英,荣峰,柯孚久,白以龙,&Wang, HY .(2003).Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission.Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版),48(24),2684-2687.
MLA 汪海英,et al."Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission".Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版) 48.24(2003):2684-2687.
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