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Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission | |
Wang HY(汪海英); Rong F(荣峰); Ke FJ(柯孚久); Bai YL(白以龙); Wang, HY (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mech, State Key Lab Nonlinear Mech, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China. | |
Source Publication | Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版) |
2003 | |
Volume | 48Issue:24Pages:2684-2687 |
ISSN | 1001-6538 |
Abstract | Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is a serious disease with many puzzling features. We present a simple, dynamic model to assess the epidemic potential of SARS and the effectiveness of control measures. With this model, we analysed the SARS epidemic data in Beijing. The data fitting gives the basic case reproduction number of 2.16 leading to the outbreak, and the variation of the effective reproduction number reflecting the control effect. Noticeably, our study shows that the response time and the strength of control measures have significant effects on the scale of the outbreak and the lasting time of the epidemic. |
Keyword | Sars Basic Reproduction Number Effective Reproduction Number Scale Of Epidemic Lasting Time Of Epidemic Sars |
DOI | 10.1360/03ww0126 |
Indexed By | SCI |
Language | 英语 |
WOS ID | WOS:000188504500005 |
WOS Keyword | SARS |
WOS Research Area | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
WOS Subject | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | 期刊论文 |
Identifier | http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/33711 |
Collection | 力学所知识产出(1956-2008) |
Corresponding Author | Wang, HY (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mech, State Key Lab Nonlinear Mech, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China. |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Wang HY,Rong F,Ke FJ,et al. Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版),2003,48,24,:2684-2687. |
APA | 汪海英,荣峰,柯孚久,白以龙,&Wang, HY .(2003).Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission.Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版),48(24),2684-2687. |
MLA | 汪海英,et al."Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission".Chinese Science Bulletin/中国科学通报(英文版) 48.24(2003):2684-2687. |
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