21世纪以来，于田地区发生了4次M_S≥6.0地震，包括两次M_S7.3地震，引起广泛关注.我们基于加卸载响应比方法 (Load-Unload Response Ratio, LURR),以地震目录(来自中国地震台网中心)为资料，对2008—2020年于田地区4次强震进行分析.结果显示，4次地震前，均在震源区及附近检测到LURR异常，且震前LURR异常空间分布随时间的变化过程类似.强震发生滞后于LURR异常峰值：2008年M_S7.3、2014年M_S7.3及2020年M_S6.4地震，滞后于LURR异常峰值1～2 a; 2012年M_S6.2地震发生于LURR异常峰值后半年.相邻的民丰地区，1924年发生了M_S7.3和M_S7.2地震，于田—民丰地区强震较为活跃.我们基于地震导致的地壳介质损伤的平板模型，探索于田及周边地区的强震复发特征.得到于田—民丰地区长期的损伤-愈合速率为3.86×10~(-4)/a.基于单次M 7.5地震造成的损伤，估算这一区域7.5级左右地震的复发间隔约50 a.本文对于田地区强震前介质特征的变化，及区域强震复发间隔提出新的认识.

Four M s >= 6. 0 earthquakes struck Yutian area in Xinjiang in the 21st century, including two strong earthquakes with magnitude of M(s)7.3, arising great concern. Based on the Load Unload Response Ratio (LURR) method, we studied the LURR abnormal characteristics before the four M s >= 6. 0 earthquakes in Yutian by using the earthquake catalog provided by China earthquake Network Center. The results showed that LURR anomalies with similar features of changes were detected before the four earthquakes. Peak value of LURR anomalies were observed prior to the earthquake occurrences: the 2008 M(s)7.3, 2014 M(s)7.3 and 2020 M(s)6.4 earthquakes occurred 12 years following the LURR anomaly peaks; the 2012 M(s)6.2 event was half a year after the LURR anomaly peak. In 1924, two earthquakes with magnitude of M(s)7.3 and M(s)7.2 occurred in Minfeng adjacent to Yutian, indicating that seismicity in Yutian Minfeng region was active. By introducing the plate model which could estimate the damage of crust media caused by earthquakes, we explored the recurrences of strong earthquakes in Yutian and its surrounding areas. The cumulative damage for Yutian and surroundings was deduced, with a rate of 3.86/10 (4)/a. An earthquake with magnitude of about 7.5 had a recurrence interval of about 50 years, estimated from the damage caused by one single M(s)7.5 event. This study provided us some scientific accumulation for the understanding of the characteristics of the medium around the seismogenic zone and the earthquake occurrence for Yutian region.