IMECH-IR  > 非线性力学国家重点实验室
Bayesian model averaging for probabilistic S-N curves with probability distribution model form uncertainty
Zou, Qingrong1; Wen JC(温济慈)2,3
Source PublicationINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FATIGUE
2023-12-01
Volume177Pages:11
ISSN0142-1123
Abstract

Reliability analysis of engineering components or structures heavily relies on accurately estimating the fatigue properties of materials. However, significant uncertainty exists regarding the distribution form and value in fatigue data, posing significant challenges in constructing a robust probability fatigue model. To address this challenge, we propose a Bayesian model averaging (BMA) method to incorporate model form uncertainty into the estimation of the probability density of fatigue life. The performance of BMA was verified through numerical experiments using both simulated and experimental data. The results highlight the robustness and reliability of BMA compared to individual models, as it effectively incorporates model form uncertainty. The proposed BMA model offers a general framework for developing probabilistic fatigue models with high robustness and accuracy in their predictions. This model contributes to advancing the field of reliability analysis by addressing the challenges posed by uncertainty and enhancing the understanding of fatigue properties for engineering components and structures.

KeywordN curves Fatigue design Bayesian model averaging Probability distribution model form uncertainty
DOI10.1016/j.ijfatigue.2023.107955
Indexed BySCI ; EI
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:001097670500001
WOS KeywordFATIGUE LIFE ; PREDICTION ; INFERENCE
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Materials Science
WOS SubjectEngineering, Mechanical ; Materials Science, Multidisciplinary
Funding ProjectScience Challenge Project[TZ2018002] ; R & D Program of Beijing Municipal Education Commission[KM202311232008] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[12002343] ; Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by the Chinese Society of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics[CSTAM2022-XSC-QN4]
Funding OrganizationScience Challenge Project ; R & D Program of Beijing Municipal Education Commission ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by the Chinese Society of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics
Classification一类
Ranking1
Contributor温济慈
Citation statistics
Cited Times:4[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/93415
Collection非线性力学国家重点实验室
Corresponding AuthorWen JC(温济慈)
Affiliation1.Beijing Informat Sci & Technol Univ, Sch Appl Sci, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mech, State Key Lab Nonlinear Mech, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Engn Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zou, Qingrong,Wen JC. Bayesian model averaging for probabilistic S-N curves with probability distribution model form uncertainty[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FATIGUE,2023,177:11.Rp_Au:温济慈
APA Zou, Qingrong,&Wen JC.(2023).Bayesian model averaging for probabilistic S-N curves with probability distribution model form uncertainty.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FATIGUE,177,11.
MLA Zou, Qingrong,et al."Bayesian model averaging for probabilistic S-N curves with probability distribution model form uncertainty".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FATIGUE 177(2023):11.
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